Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal will meet for the 53rd time in the 2019 Australian Open final. It’s an epic clash, a battle of titans, which will be available for online live streaming. The match starts at 9:30 AM CET.
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Who is the real favourite?
As most people think, it cannot be a true, real favourite in this epic final. It’s simply impossible. Both are great players, both are in excellent shape, nobody can say for sure Djokovic is now better than Nadal or vice-versa. Of course, there will be only one winner, decided maybe by a few mistakes his opponent made. But the people who are winning or losing money on this event, the bookies, think differently.
A win for Djokovic stands at 1.75, while for Nadal is 2.14 (at the time this article was written). There’s a 0.40 gap, which is not huge, but, in fact, it’s a enough to make the Serbian the favourite. Djokovic’s demolition of Pouille, in the semifinals, seems to outweigh the trashing of Tsitsipas by Nadal. Taking into account that both Pouille and Tsitsipas are pretty much on the same level at the moment, it looks the odds should be even. But they’re not.
Djokovic vs Nadal Head to Head
In simple words, Djokovic leads 27-25. In 2018, it was 1-1. Nadal beat Novak in Madrid (semifinals) and Djokovic took revenge at Wimbledon (also semifinals).
Someone can write a book about this fierce and spectacular rivalry, the biggest rivalry in tennis, so far. Both players set some new records during their rivalry: they met 52 times (an Open Era record) and they played the longest Grand Slam final (Australian Open 2012 – almost 6 hours). Novak won that one, which was also his seventh victory in a row against Nadal at that time, a performance which the Serbian repeated during the 2013-2016 seasons.
One thing that we should take into account is that Rafa leads Novak 4-3 in Grand Slam finals, but Djokovic leads the Spaniard on outdoor hard courts by 14-5. Strangely enough, this only their second match at the Australian Open, the other being the final mentioned above.
Even though I really can’t make a prediction on this one, I’ll go with the bookie’s gamble: Djokovic. But it’s a gamble, because both players are so good and showed an excellent tennis during this year’s Australian Open. Tight match, big fight, Djokovic wins.